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Saturday, October 04, 2008

20 Golden Rules for Traders

Want to trade successfully? Just choose the good positions and avoid the bad ones. Poor trade selection takes a heavy toll as it bleeds your confidence and wallet. You face many crossroads during each market day. Without a system of discipline for your decision-making, impulse and emotion will undermine skills as you chase the wrong stocks at the worst times.

Many short-term players view trading as a form of gambling. Without planning or discipline, they throw money at the market. The occasional big score reinforces this easy money attitude but sets them up for ultimate failure. Without defensive rules, insiders easily feed off these losers and send them off to other hobbies.

Technical Analysis teaches traders to execute positions based on numbers, time and volume. This discipline forces traders to distance themselves from reckless gambling behavior. Through detached execution and solid risk management, short-term trading finally "works".

Markets echo similar patterns over and over again. The science of trend allows you to build systematic rules to play these repeating formations and avoid the chase:

1. Forget the news, remember the chart. You're not smart enough to know how news will affect price. The chart already knows the news is coming.

2. Buy the first pullback from a new high. Sell the first pullback from a new low. There's always a crowd that missed the first boat.

3. Buy at support, sell at resistance. Everyone sees the same thing and they're all just waiting to jump in the pool.

4. Short rallies not selloffs. When markets drop, shorts finally turn a profit and get ready to cover.

5. Don't buy up into a major moving average or sell down into one. See #3.

6. Don't chase momentum if you can't find the exit. Assume the market will reverse the minute you get in. If it's a long way to the door, you're in big trouble.

7. Exhaustion gaps get filled. Breakaway and continuation gaps don't. The old traders' wisdom is a lie. Trade in the direction of gap support whenever you can.

8. Trends test the point of last support/resistance. Enter here even if it hurts.

9. Trade with the TICK not against it. Don't be a hero. Go with the money flow.

10. If you have to look, it isn't there. Forget your college degree and trust your instincts.

11. Sell the second high, buy the second low. After sharp pullsbacks, the first test of any high or low always runs into resistance. Look for the break on the third or fourth try.

12. The trend is your friend in the last hour. As volume cranks up at 3:00pm don't expect anyone to change the channel.

13. Avoid the open. They see YOU coming sucker

14. 1-2-3-Drop-Up. Look for downtrends to reverse after a top, two lower highs and a double bottom.

15. Bulls live above the 200 day, bears live below. Sellers eat up rallies below this key moving average line and buyers to come to the rescue above it.

16. Price has memory. What did price do the last time it hit a certain level? Chances are it will do it again.

17. Big volume kills moves. Climax blow-offs take both buyers and sellers out of the market and lead to sideways action.

18. Trends never turn on a dime. Reversals build slowly. The first sharp dip always finds buyers and the first sharp rise always finds sellers.

19. Bottoms take longer to form than tops. Greed acts more quickly than fear and causes stocks to drop from their own weight.

20. Beat the crowd in and out the door. You have to take their money before they take yours, period.


the best article,credit to www.tradingday.com

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Friday, October 03, 2008
nfp special report eu long to 1.4270,1.4400 gu long to 1.7950,1.8300 if hit previous low 1.7550 then sell gu toward 1.6570 and eu if breakout 1.3745 sell toward 1.3370

ok trader dont forget to put your stop loss 50 to100pips after entry point..

good luck

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Tuesday, September 30, 2008
currently stay out of the market..

waiting non-farm payroll report or after to make a new entry..

happy hari raya to all muslim..

see you on thursday
Friday, September 26, 2008
friday trade setup

im still hold buy position for gbp/usd and eur/usd...gu toward 1.8800 and 1.9130 eu toward 1.4911 and 1.5200,as long as 1.8250 gu and 1.4880 for eu still supported. .at the same time still holding short for usd/chf toward 1.0680 and 1.0500 while ready to buy deep for uj around 103.50 to 104.00 toward 108.00

correction:1.4480 for eu still supported not 1.4880

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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Thursday trade setup

im still hold buy position for gbp/usd and eur/usd ...

gu should try toward 1.8800 and eu toward 1.4911,breakout both level would bring the price for gbp/usd toward 1.91 and eu toward 1.50++

for usd/chf still holding short position to try previous low around 1.0680..

usd/yen waiting a try toward 103.50 to buy deep toward 108.00
Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Wednesday trade setup for eur/usd

buy at current price 1.4710 to 1.4730 stop loss 1.4650

tp1=1.4800 tp2=1.4850 tp3=1.4900


Wednesday trade setup for gbp/usd

buy at current price 1.8550 to 1.8600 stop loss 1.8460

tp1=1.8650 tp2=1.8710 tp3=1.8780


Wednesday trade setup for uj

sell limit 106.50 stop loss 107.00

tp1=105.50 tp2=105.00 tp3=104.50

sell stop 105.50 stop loss 106.10

tp1=104.85 tp2=104.35 tp3=103.50


wednesday trade setup for usd/chf

sell at current price 1.0850 to 1.0830 stop loss 1.0910

tp1=1.0770 tp2=1.0700 tp3=1.0600
Tuesday, September 23, 2008


tuesday trade setup for eur/usd

buy stop 1.4815 stop loss 1.4775

tp1=1.4860 tp2=1.4900 tp3=1.5050

sell stop 1.4660 stop loss 1.4710

tp1=1.4600 tp2=1.4560 tp3=1.4540


Tuesday trade setup for gbp/usd

buy stop 1.8650 stop loss 1.8600

tp1=1.8700 tp2=1.8750 tp3=1.8780

sell stop 1.8470 stop loss 1.8520

tp1=1.8420 tp2=1.8380 tp3=1.8350


Tuesday trade setup for usd/chf

buy stop 1.0910 stop loss 1.0860

tp1=1.0960 tp2=1.0990 tp3=1.1050

sell stop 1.0735 stop loss 1.0785

tp1=1.0690 tp2=1.0630 tp3=1.0540


Tuesday trade setup for usd/jpy

buy stop 106.00 stop loss 105.50

tp1=106.50 tp2=106.80 tp3=107.50

sell stop 105.05 stop loss 105.55

tp1=104.55 tp2=104.00 tp3=103.55

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